Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000854 0.000969 0.001098 0.001255 0.001440 0.001654 0.001923
2025-05-11 0.000682 0.000834 0.001022 0.001275 0.001611 0.002052 0.002686
2025-05-18 0.000582 0.000752 0.000977 0.001305 0.001785 0.002482 0.003620
2025-05-25 0.000516 0.000696 0.000948 0.001340 0.001961 0.002951 0.004761
2025-06-01 0.000454 0.000632 0.000893 0.001321 0.002044 0.003289 0.005807
2025-06-08 0.000410 0.000587 0.000858 0.001323 0.002155 0.003701 0.007146
2025-06-15 0.000376 0.000553 0.000831 0.001332 0.002277 0.004159 0.008789
2025-06-22 0.000351 0.000529 0.000818 0.001359 0.002436 0.004740 0.011014
2025-06-29 0.000328 0.000503 0.000798 0.001370 0.002566 0.005296 0.013503
2025-07-06 0.000314 0.000492 0.000801 0.001423 0.002795 0.006164 0.017513
2025-07-13 0.000287 0.000457 0.000756 0.001374 0.002786 0.006432 0.019750
2025-07-20 0.000270 0.000436 0.000735 0.001372 0.002886 0.007029 0.023722
2025-07-27 0.000257 0.000423 0.000730 0.001405 0.003090 0.008050 0.030746
2025-08-03 0.000245 0.000409 0.000721 0.001430 0.003286 0.009163 0.039913
2025-08-10 0.000234 0.000398 0.000717 0.001466 0.003526 0.010565 0.053321
2025-08-17 0.000225 0.000389 0.000715 0.001506 0.003792 0.012246 0.072666
2025-08-24 0.000211 0.000370 0.000689 0.001484 0.003865 0.013206 0.089180
2025-08-31 0.000201 0.000356 0.000674 0.001487 0.004017 0.014632 0.115259
2025-09-07 0.000192 0.000344 0.000663 0.001497 0.004199 0.016354 0.152838
2025-09-14 0.000186 0.000337 0.000660 0.001528 0.004469 0.018783 0.216050
2025-09-21 0.000178 0.000327 0.000650 0.001541 0.004679 0.021095 0.298258
2025-09-28 0.000175 0.000325 0.000657 0.001603 0.005104 0.025246 0.479864
2025-10-05 0.000164 0.000307 0.000626 0.001546 0.005029 0.025943 0.570124